Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.045149 0.051876 0.058878 0.066678 0.075095 0.083875 0.093695
2025-04-20 0.036753 0.046916 0.058149 0.071337 0.086253 0.102469 0.121298
2025-04-27 0.028032 0.039585 0.053086 0.069673 0.089174 0.111070 0.137220
2025-05-04 0.023902 0.036710 0.052360 0.072266 0.096337 0.123988 0.157648
2025-05-11 0.019351 0.032529 0.049396 0.071603 0.099191 0.131558 0.171651
2025-05-18 0.016755 0.030475 0.048742 0.073473 0.104853 0.142270 0.189226
2025-05-25 0.014446 0.028455 0.047845 0.074797 0.109666 0.151854 0.205412
2025-06-01 0.011408 0.024897 0.044488 0.072591 0.109776 0.155514 0.214329
2025-06-08 0.008996 0.021894 0.041574 0.070685 0.110037 0.159182 0.223122
2025-06-15 0.007908 0.020891 0.041423 0.072454 0.115013 0.168710 0.239112
2025-06-22 0.006733 0.019534 0.040597 0.073171 0.118528 0.176358 0.252779
2025-06-29 0.006263 0.019404 0.041619 0.076498 0.125545 0.188503 0.272115
2025-07-06 0.004985 0.017568 0.039956 0.076095 0.127819 0.195007 0.285021
2025-07-13 0.004766 0.017913 0.041889 0.081097 0.137668 0.211548 0.310914
2025-07-20 0.003529 0.015715 0.039368 0.079285 0.137995 0.215643 0.321035
2025-07-27 0.003111 0.015329 0.039903 0.082093 0.144787 0.228258 0.342092
2025-08-03 0.002346 0.013801 0.038242 0.081374 0.146507 0.234121 0.354479
2025-08-10 0.001984 0.013271 0.038344 0.083399 0.152141 0.245217 0.373666
2025-08-17 0.001623 0.012603 0.038108 0.084831 0.156900 0.255144 0.391370
2025-08-24 0.001056 0.010897 0.035631 0.082443 0.155950 0.257266 0.398826
2025-08-31 0.000653 0.009442 0.033449 0.080380 0.155357 0.259789 0.406751
2025-09-07 0.000519 0.009112 0.033618 0.082296 0.160718 0.270499 0.425515
2025-09-14 0.000368 0.008527 0.033152 0.083072 0.164341 0.278815 0.441140